Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.79	3.95
	1.98	3.21	3.88	Watch
	1.87	3.48	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)	3.9 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
49.6%

Draw
26.5%

Shrewsbury Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.5%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Northampton Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northampton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 15. Thorniley J. 21. Perkins J. 3. McCarthy C. 23. Taylor T. 10. List E. 17. Jacobs M. (C) 22. Edwards K. 14. Fornah T. 11. Swyer K.	12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 26. Stubbs S. 4. Anderson T. 7. McDermott T. 10. Sang T. 25. Ruffels J. 3. Benning M. 14. Perry T. 11. Scully A. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
9. Eaves T. 36. Evans O. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 5. Guthrie J. 8. McGeehan C. 25. Tomlinson J. 6. Willis J.	15. Aneke Ch. 6. Clucas S. 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 44. Hill T. (G) 20. Kabia I. 9. Lloyd G.
Coaches
Nolan K.	Appleton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Anderson T. 🟨,
27', Swyer K. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Swyer K. ⚽, Perkins J. (A),
37', 1 - 1, McDermott T. ⚽,
45+1', Benning M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Jacobs M. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
65', Scully A. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
66', McDermott T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
66', Benning M. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
67', Edwards K. ↓, McGeehan C. ↑,
75', Taylor T. 🟨,
77', Sang T. ↓, Kabia I. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, McCarthy C. ⚽, Burge L. (A),
80', Perry T. ↓, England I. ↑,
80', Burroughs J. ↓, Guthrie J. ↑,
83', Eaves T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.

Northampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shrewsbury is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Northampton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
08.11.25	Northampton Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	3:1 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Northampton Town - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Reading - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Doncaster Rovers - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
08.11.25	Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	South Shields - Shrewsbury Town	1:3 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.04.25	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	4:1
29.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town	1:1
27.01.24	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:2
07.10.23	Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town	1:0
02.04.21	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
19.09.20	Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town	1:2
20.03.18	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:1

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