The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 58%
Draw 26.5%
Northampton Town 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
29.4%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
28.6%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldham Athletic's performance.
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldham Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 27. Hammond O. 19. Hannant L. 14. Garner J. 28. Mellon M.
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 22. Edwards K. 6. Willis J. (C) 15. Thorniley J. 18. Forbes M. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 8. McGeehan C. 23. Taylor T. 21. Perkins J. 19. Wheatley E. 17. Jacobs M.
Substitutes
31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 23. Harratt K. 21. Hawkes J. 3. Leake J. 26. Payne K. 17. Quigley J. 16. Sutton W.
20. Avery T. (G) 1. Burge L. (G) 9. Eaves T. 14. Fornah T. 5. Guthrie J. 10. List E. 11. Swyer K. 25. Tomlinson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mellon M. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Mellon M. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Willis J. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
46', Jacobs M. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
49', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Mellon M. ⚽,
55', Woods R. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
64', Edwards K. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
68', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, List E. ↑,
70', Garner J. 🟨,
71', Garner J. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
72', Mellon M. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
80', Thorniley J. 🟨,
83', Daniels D. ↓, Sutton W. ↑,
83', Hammond O. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽, Eaves T. (A),
90+10', List E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 0.
Oldham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Northampton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Hudson M. (G) 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Robson J. 
Hammond O. 
Forbes M. 
Quigley J. 
Fornah T. 
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