The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 41.5%
Draw 28.7%
Tranmere Rovers 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
28.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 22. Powell J. 16. Wormleighton J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Evans L. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 19. Dale O. 9. Warhurst M.
1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 16. Faulkner B. 30. Nevett G. 3. Slater J. 6. Vaulks W. (C) 44. Watson R. 29. Jones D. 10. Ince T. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Ironside J.
Substitutes
31. Dadge J. (G) 35. Dyche M. 14. Fornah T. 7. Hoskins S. 10. List E. 3. Maxwell J. 17. Opoku N.
13. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 11. Conlon T. 24. Kamara D. 14. Scott O. 5. Smith N. 4. Turnbull J. 20. Veevers C.
Coaches
Hogg C.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Faulkner B. ⚽, Vaulks W. (A),
42', Watson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, List E. ↑,
70', Warhurst M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
70', Powell J. ↓, Maxwell J. ↑,
76', Donacien J. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
90+1', O'Connor L. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 22nd and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Northampton (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Tranmere have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Northampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Northampton has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Tranmere has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Northampton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Northampton has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:6 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Northampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).