Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 20

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.75
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.7
	2.05	3.2	3.55
	2.17	3.22	3.8
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.19	3.28	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
44.2%

Draw
29.8%

Tranmere Rovers
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	15%	20%

Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 12).

Northampton has the most likely position - 2 (23.47%), has project points - 84, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (21%).

Tranmere has the most likely position - 9 (7.12%), has project points - 64, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, importance 44, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4.

Recent matches Northampton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tranmere is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Northampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League Two
19.11.22	Bradford City - Northampton Town	1:3 ✺
12.11.22	Gillingham - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Chesterfield - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
29.10.22	Northampton Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Northampton Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTT
- Tranmere Rovers
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Burton Albion - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.11.22	Tranmere Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
English League Two
01.11.22	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.03.22	Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2
23.10.21	Tranmere Rovers - Northampton Town	0:2
05.02.19	Tranmere Rovers - Northampton Town	1:2
01.09.18	Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
14.03.15	Northampton Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
28.12.14	Tranmere Rovers - Northampton Town	2:1

Upcoming Matches