The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 56.9%
Draw 24.2%
Northampton Town 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
24.4%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
York City - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 22nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 1.
York has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Northampton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Northampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, York has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, York is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, York has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for York against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
York City: 9.68% Northampton: 2.57%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
York City
8
4
2
2
16:10
6
14
22
Northampton
7
1
3
3
3:6
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.75%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Northampton Town - the odds 4.36 are the expected chance of winning is 21.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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