The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 57.8%
Draw 24.4%
Northampton Town 17.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
24.4%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
York City - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for York: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - York (1.61) (votes: 91%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 5. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 7. Grey J. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.
1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 22. Powell J. 16. Wormleighton J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Evans L. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 19. Dale O. 9. Warhurst M.
Substitutes
32. Hunt J. 15. King J. 11. Maguire F. 18. Malcolm J. 6. Palmer A. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
31. Dadge J. (G) 35. Dyche M. 14. Fornah T. 7. Hoskins S. 10. List E. 3. Maxwell J. 17. Opoku N.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Hogg C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ⚽,
40', Powell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Boyes H. 🟨,
59', Felix J. ↓, King J. ↑,
59', Grey J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
61', Donacien J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
70', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
70', Warhurst M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
73', Hunt A. ↓, Maguire F. ↑,
74', Fallowfield R. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
81', Powell J. ↓, Maxwell J. ↑,
81', Dale O. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, King J. (A),
86', Maguire F. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 22nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 1.
York has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Northampton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Northampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, York has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, York is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for York: Boateng H.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for York: Medley Z.
(Inactive)
Stones J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Northampton: Perkins J.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, York has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for York against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
York City
13
5
5
3
22:16
6
20
19
Northampton
11
3
4
4
8:8
0
13
Outrights of English League Two for now
York City: 10.95% Northampton: 2.63%
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.75%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Northampton Town - the odds 4.36 are the expected chance of winning is 21.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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McNally A. (G) 
Donacien J. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 
Fornah T. 
Maxwell J. 
Opoku N. 
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