The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 39%
Draw 25.5%
Southampton 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
25.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
25.6%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Norwich City - Southampton Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 20%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 29.6% – 90.4%.
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.
Norwich is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
S`hampton is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
S`hampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Norwich has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:29 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Norwich against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Southampton: 10.57% Norwich: 4.47%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Southampton
9
5
2
2
20:10
10
13
19
Norwich
9
3
0
6
17:19
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Norwich City - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.12%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.