Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester City		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.11	8.50	17.00	Watch
	1.15	8.00	13.00
	1.13	8.50	16.00	Watch
	1.17	8.00	21.00
	1.12	9.43	19.89	Watch
	1.15	7.90	20.00
	1.18	8.60	15.00	Watch
	1.16	7.80	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.13)	8.34 ↓ (8.74)	17.11 ↑ (16.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
83%

Draw
11.4%

Norwich City
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

10.8%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Manchester City - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Norwich will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.75 - Norwich (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 3 - 60%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Rulli G. (G) 82. Lewis R. 45. Khusanov A. 22. Vitor Reis 33. O'Reilly N. 32. Bouaddi A. 8. Kovacic M. (C) 37. Allan Elias 10. Cherki R. 21. Ait-Nouri R. 75. Samba F.	32. Grimshaw D. (G) 35. Fisher K. 6. Darling H. (C) 28. Bruno Alves 13. Yongwa D. 26. Field S. 16. Wright J. 17. Crnac A. 20. Slimane A. 19. Diallo P. A. 30. Kvistgaarden M.
Substitutes
5. Anderson E. 61. Braithwaite K. 1. Donnarumma G. (G) 17. Fernandez E. 6. Guehi M. 56. McAidoo R. 7. Ndiaye I. 27. Nunes M. 42. Semenyo A.	14. Chrisene B. 1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Maghoma P. 7. Mattsson P. 15. McConville R. 49. Musaba A. 29. Schwartau O. 3. Stacey J. 21. Toure M.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Samba F. ⚽, Allan Elias (A),
30', Fisher K. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Cherki R. ⚽, Bouaddi A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Cherki R. ↓, McAidoo R. ↑,
46', Diallo P. A. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Allan Elias ⚽, Ait-Nouri R. (A),
54', 4 - 0, Samba F. ⚽, Ait-Nouri R. (A),
62', Crnac A. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
71', Allan Elias ↓, Braithwaite K. ↑,
71', Slimane A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
71', Bruno Alves ↓, McConville R. ↑,
85', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, McAidoo R. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 3.

Man City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Norwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Man City is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Doku J. (Calf Injury) Foden P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Norwich: Ahmed A. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Ankle Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Man City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:11. (average 3.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 4.2:0.8).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Manchester City: 17.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Porto - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Manchester City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Norwich City
English League Championship
12.09.26	Middlesbrough - Norwich City	4:3 ✺
09.09.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sheffield United - Norwich City	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Stoke City - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Norwich City - Burnley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
12.02.22	Norwich City - Manchester City	0:4
21.08.21	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0
26.07.20	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0
14.09.19	Norwich City - Manchester City	3:2
12.03.16	Norwich City - Manchester City	0:0
English FA Cup
09.01.16	Norwich City - Manchester City	0:3
English Premier League
31.10.15	Manchester City - Norwich City	2:1

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