Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Southampton

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.70	3.50	2.50
	2.81	3.48	2.42	Watch
	2.83	3.71	2.47
	2.75	3.61	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.4
	2.73	3.44	2.39	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.06)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
34.4%

Draw
26.6%

Southampton
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Wrexham - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Patterson A. (G) 26. Vyner Z. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 18. Sheaf B. 8. Whiteman B. 3. Ekomie J. 10. Windass J. 17. O'Hare C. 19. Moore K.	1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 15. Wood N. 13. Schlotterbeck K. 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. (C) 30. Ward-Prowse J. 27. Matsuki K. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.
Substitutes
11. Cadamarteri B. 15. Dobson G. 34. James A. 37. James M. 47. Longman R. 27. O'Brien L. 28. Smith S. 21. Ward D. (G) 6. Worrall J.	6. Abbott Z. 26. Bragg C. 11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 25. Long G. (G) 28. Mubama D. 5. Stephens J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Larin C. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Moore K. ⚽, Whiteman B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ward-Prowse J. ⚽, Edozie S. (A),
65', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
69', Wood N. 🟨,
72', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
76', Matsuki K. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
86', Hyam D. 🟨,
86', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
87', Windass J. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Schlotterbeck K. (Own goal),
90+2', Manning R. 🟨,
90+3', Bree J. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
90+5', Downes F. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 19th and 9th).

Wrexham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

S`hampton is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Wrexham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Wrexham: Cleworth M. (Muscle Injury) Revan S. (Hamstring Injury) Thomason G. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for S`hampton: Jander C. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Doubtful / questionable for Wrexham: Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 1:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wrexham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 6.85% Wrexham: 1.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
11.09.26	West Ham United - Wrexham	6:0 ✺
08.09.26	Wrexham - Burnley	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Swansea City - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Millwall - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Southampton - Millwall	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.04.26	Wrexham - Southampton	1:5
09.08.25	Southampton - Wrexham	2:1

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