Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lincoln City		Southampton

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.76	Watch
	4.00	3.80	1.82
	4.25	3.85	1.78	Watch
	4.16	4.14	1.81
	3.93	3.9	1.85	Watch
	3.85	4	1.86
	4.57	4.03	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.25)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	1.8 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
23%

Draw
24.2%

Southampton
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.2%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.7%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Lincoln City - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). S`hampton will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 25. Elerewe D. 15. Bradley S. (C) 6. Towler R. 4. Coubis A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 3. Reach A. 18. House B. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.	1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 13. Schlotterbeck K. 34. Welington 4. Downes F. 30. Ward-Prowse J. 27. Matsuki K. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 20. Elder C. 46. Gauci J. (G) 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 16. Jefferies D. 26. Konak Y. E. 11. Ladefoged M. 27. Ogbene C. 19. Olaofe T.	6. Abbott Z. 26. Bragg C. 11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 25. Long G. (G) 3. Manning R. 28. Mubama D. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Shaw T.	Eckert T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', McGrandles C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Welington ⚽, Ward-Prowse J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Shaw T. 🟨,
56', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
62', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
63', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
64', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
64', Bradley S. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
64', Street R. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
75', Draper F. 🟨,
76', McGrandles C. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
76', House B. ↓, Ogbene C. ↑,
78', Azaz F. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
78', Welington ↓, Manning R. ↑,
84', Matsuki K. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ladefoged M. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lincoln: Darikwa T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Jander C. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Bradley S. (Knock)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 10.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20:10	10	13
17	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 21.94%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Southampton - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.87%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League Championship
01.09.26	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackpool - Lincoln City	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Southampton - Millwall	5:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Southampton - West Ham United	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Southampton - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Watford - Southampton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
20.12.22	Southampton - Lincoln City	2:1

Upcoming Matches