Match Info

Championship - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	08:00	Disney+, N Sports
Bulgaria	14:00	Nova Sport
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	08:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Croatia	13:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Viaplay
France	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
India	16:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	12:00	NOW
Israel	14:00	Sport 2
Japan	20:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:00	Setanta Sports
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	05:00	Disney+
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	19:00	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	13:00	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Ukraine	14:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:00	ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+


	Southampton		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.20	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.60	5.50
	1.57	4.20	5.10	Watch
	1.54	4.50	6.20
	1.58	4.35	5.2	Watch
	1.53	4.40	6.05
	1.52	4.29	6.72	Watch
	1.51	4.50	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.38 ↑ (4.32)	5.83 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southampton
62.1%

Draw
21.7%

Portsmouth
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

21.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Southampton - Portsmouth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - S`hampton (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 13. Schlotterbeck K. 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. 30. Ward-Prowse J. 26. Bragg C. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.	1. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 55. Dia M. 16. Meghoma J. 7. Pack M. (C) 38. Adams E. 25. Kavuma McQueen R. 11. Kamara A. 17. Shade T. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 8. Jander C. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 28. Mubama D. 34. Welington 15. Wood N.	21. Anderson K. 27. Bailey O. 31. Bielica D. (G) 24. Devlin T. 32. Kenny E. 29. Marezi 37. Mohamed I. 10. Segecic A. 19. Shein R. R.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Bree J. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
32', Bragg C. 🟨,
34', Adams E. 🟨,
44', Bragg C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kavuma McQueen R. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
51', Larin C. 🟨,
53', Azaz F. 🟨,
53', Meghoma J. 🟨,
57', Scienza L. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
65', Adams E. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
65', Meghoma J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
65', Bishop C. ↓, Marezi ↑,
69', Devlin T. 🟨,
72', Larin C. ↓, Jander C. ↑,
77', Swanson Z. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
82', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 16th and 19th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to S`hampton for this game.

Confirmed absences for S`hampton: Jander C. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Confirmed absences for Portsmouth: Anderson K. (Muscle Injury) Brooke-Smith L. (Ankle Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Portsmouth: Marezi (Calf Injury).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, S`hampton has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for S`hampton against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24:12	12	20
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16:15	1	18

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 13.09% Portsmouth: 1.55%

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 18.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
19.09.26	Wrexham - Southampton	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTT
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
19.09.26	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.01.26	Portsmouth - Southampton	1:1
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0
English League Cup
24.09.19	Portsmouth - Southampton	0:4
English League Championship
07.04.12	Southampton - Portsmouth	2:2

Upcoming Matches