Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Southampton		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.00	5.50	Watch
	1.60	4.33	5.00
	1.58	4.10	5.10
	1.61	4.25	5.36
	1.61	4.08	5.1	Watch
	1.56	4.20	5.30
	1.61	4.00	5.03	Watch
	1.55	4.20	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	4.15 ↓ (4.32)	5.2 (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
59.3%

Draw
22.6%

Portsmouth
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Portsmouth aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Southampton - Portsmouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 19th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, S`hampton is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, S`hampton has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for S`hampton against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 10.62% Portsmouth: 0.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 18.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
19.09.26	Wrexham - Southampton	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Birmingham City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTT
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
19.09.26	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Portsmouth - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.01.26	Portsmouth - Southampton	1:1
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0
English League Cup
24.09.19	Portsmouth - Southampton	0:4
English League Championship
07.04.12	Southampton - Portsmouth	2:2

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