Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5
	1.66	3.75	5.25
	1.65	4.15	5.1
	1.69	4.09	5.3
	1.72	3.74	4.62	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.68	4.05	5.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.93 ↓ (4.04)	5.05 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
57%

Draw
24.2%

West Ham United
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.3%	5.8%	5.8%

Nottingham Forest - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - West Ham (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Nottingham (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (90 of 100 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.12% – 95.88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (53 of 55 users predict this - 96.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 61 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 57 - 93.4%). West Ham (votes: 4 - 6.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 12. Diouf M. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 28. Soucek T. 20. Bowen J. (C) 18. Fernandes M. 10. Lucas Paqueta 11. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
30. Boly W. 12. Douglas Luiz 18. Gunn A. (G) 21. Hutchinson O. 19. Igor Jesus 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 22. Yates R.	23. Areola A. (G) 39. Irving A. 32. Potts F. 24. Rodriguez G. 30. Scarles O. 7. Summerville C. 25. Todibo J. 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Potter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', Ndoye D. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
64', Fullkrug N. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
73', Wood Ch. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
75', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Irving A. ↑,
82', Fernandes M. ↓, Summerville C. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Bowen J. ⚽, Summerville C. (A),
88', 0 - 2, Lucas Paqueta (Pen),
89', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
89', Sangare I. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Wilson C. ⚽, Diouf M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3.

Nottingham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

West Ham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nottingham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Dominguez N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Luis Guilherme (Shoulder Injury) Summerville C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Earthy G. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Nottingham Forest - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTTL
- West Ham United
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	West Ham United - Lille	1:1 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.05.25	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2
02.11.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	3:0
17.02.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	2:0
12.11.23	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	3:2
25.02.23	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	4:0
14.08.22	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	1:0
English FA Cup
05.01.14	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	5:0

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