What is the expert prediction for West Ham United vs Chelsea?

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West Ham United vs Chelsea Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 22, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport, SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360, VieON
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	West Ham United		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.75
	5	4	1.66
	4.6	3.9	1.75
	4.59	3.9	1.83
	39.38	13.11	1.04	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.67
	4.86	3.99	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.68 ↑ (3.9)	5.23 ↑ (3.95)	1.63 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
11.4%

Draw
21.1%

Chelsea
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.3%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

23.6%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United's form might have worsened.

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Chelsea (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (87 of 107 users predict this - 81.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 88.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 53 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 1 - 1.9%). Chelsea (votes: 49 - 92.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hermansen M. (G) 25. Todibo J. 3. Kilman M. 5. Aguerd N. 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 28. Soucek T. 12. Diouf M. 10. Lucas Paqueta 20. Bowen J. (C) 11. Fullkrug N.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 4. Adarabioyo T. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 41. Estêvão 20. Joao Pedro 7. Neto P. 9. Delap L.
Substitutes
23. Areola A. (G) 39. Irving A. 50. Marshall C. 15. Mavropanos K. 32. Potts F. 24. Rodriguez G. 30. Scarles O. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Wilson C.	34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 14. Essugo D. 29. Fofana W. 11. Gittens J. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 44. Slonina G. (G)
Coaches
Potter G.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 1 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Diouf M. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Cucurella M. (A),
23', 1 - 2, Neto P. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
34', 1 - 3, Fernandez E. ⚽, Estêvão (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fullkrug N. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
46', Todibo J. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
54', 1 - 4, Caicedo M. ⚽,
58', 1 - 5, Chalobah T. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
62', Delap L. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
69', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
69', Cucurella M. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
69', Chalobah T. ↓, Fofana W. ↑,
70', Soucek T. ↓, Walker-Peters K. ↑,
77', Estêvão ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
87', Hato J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 1.

In recent matches, West Ham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelsea is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.

There will not play in West Ham: Earthy G. (Ankle Injury) Luis Guilherme (Shoulder Injury) Summerville C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Antwi G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
16.08.25	Sunderland - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	West Ham United - Lille	1:1 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	West Ham United - Everton	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
17.08.25	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Chelsea - Milan	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
13.07.25	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
08.07.25	Fluminense - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.02.25	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1
21.09.24	West Ham United - Chelsea	0:3
05.05.24	Chelsea - West Ham United	5:0
20.08.23	West Ham United - Chelsea	3:1
11.02.23	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:1
03.09.22	Chelsea - West Ham United	2:1
24.04.22	Chelsea - West Ham United	1:0

West Ham United - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide