Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Selhurst Park (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Bangladesh	19:00	Toffee Live
Belgium	15:00	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	09:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	21:00	Migu
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	08:00	ESPN
Estonia	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	16:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	21:00	Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Iceland	13:00	SÝN Sport
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Ireland	14:00	NOW
Israel	16:00	Sport 1
Italy	15:00	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	19:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	16:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	07:00	FOX One, FOX Sports
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 3
Nepal	18:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	14:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	14:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	21:00	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN Sports MAX 1
United Kingdom	14:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	20:00	FPT Play


	Crystal Palace		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.30	2.50
	2.75	3.40	2.50
	2.85	3.35	2.48
	3.00	3.35	2.53
	2.83	3.48	2.56	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.55
	2.90	3.33	2.52	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
33.4%

Draw
28.5%

Nottingham Forest
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	28%	44%

Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Crystal Palace (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Cards O/U 4 - over (1.90) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nottingham (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Benitez W. (G) 8. Lerma J. 26. Richards C. 6. Canvot J. 25. Khalaili A. 20. Wharton A. (C) 23. Timber Q. 3. Mitchell T. 18. Kamada D. 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J.	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 2. Diomande O. 5. Murillo 27. Munoz D. 21. Schlager X. 24. McAtee J. 3. Williams N. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 14. Ndoye D. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
21. Ahanor H. 28. Doucoure C. 29. Guessand E. 19. Hughes W. 31. Matthews R. (G) 11. McNeil D. 30. Mingueza O. 9. Nketiah E. 7. Sarr I.	23. Cunha 8. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 12. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 25. Netz L. 6. Sangare I. 9. Wood Ch. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Sage P.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ndoye D. ⚽,
16', Lerma J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Kamada D. ⚽, Timber Q. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Lerma J. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 1, Pino Y. ⚽,
60', Pino Y. 🟨,
66', Schlager X. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
72', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
72', Delap L. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
72', Lerma J. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
73', Aina O. 🟨,
83', Pino Y. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
83', Larsen J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
83', Aina O. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
90', Kamada D. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
90+4', Murillo 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Nottingham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Crystal Palace has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Disasi A. (Red Card) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Nottingham: Igor Jesus (Calf Injury) Milenkovic N. (Knee Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace has recorded 0 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crystal Palace against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.7:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Crystal Palace	8	2	1	5	9:19	-10	7
18	Nottingham	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.09% Crystal Palace: 0.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
19.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
05.05.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
21.10.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0
30.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1
07.10.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	0:0
28.05.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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