Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.20	2.55
	2.65	3.40	2.60
	2.80	3.35	2.55
	2.87	3.50	2.61
	2.8	3.52	2.57	Watch
	2.80	3.35	2.50
	2.92	3.43	2.62	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)	3.39 ↑ (3.32)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
34.1%

Draw
28.4%

Nottingham Forest
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	23.5%	41.2%

Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Nottingham will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Crystal Palace (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 50%). Nottingham (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Nottingham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Crystal Palace has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Disasi A. (Red Card) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Nottingham: Igor Jesus (Calf Injury) Milenkovic N. (Knee Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace has recorded 0 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crystal Palace against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.7:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
19.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
05.05.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
21.10.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0
30.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1
07.10.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	0:0
28.05.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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