Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Swansea City		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.80	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.60	2.10
	3.10	3.65	2.10	Watch
	3.44	3.79	2.10
	3.33	3.59	2.11	Watch
	3.40	3.75	2.07
	3.56	3.89	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.60	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	3.71 ↑ (3.67)	2.06 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
28.5%

Draw
25.6%

West Ham United
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.4%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Swansea City - West Ham United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: West Ham United will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 35. Ronald 5. Cabango B. (C) 23. Welsh S. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 6. Stamenic M. 49. Yeo M. K. 33. Idah A. 30. Opoku J.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 34. Veltman J. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 5. Morato 14. Mukasa D. 7. Engels A. 20. Bowen J. (C) 17. Kante M. 10. Solomon M. 19. Pablo
Substitutes
10. Eom Ji-Sung 46. Eustaquio S. 1. Fisher A. (G) 50. Heywood C. 8. Just E. 3. Seelt J. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Widell M. 44. Woodward T.	23. Areola A. (G) 35. Austbo E. 11. Castellanos T. 58. Golambeckis A. 61. Orford L. 9. Piroe J. 30. Scarles O. 28. Soucek T. 2. Walker-Peters K.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Mukasa D. ⚽, Kante M. (A),
41', Mukasa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Fulton J. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
57', Opoku J. ↓, Eom Ji-Sung ↑,
61', Pablo ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
69', Kante M. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
76', Yeo M. K. ↓, Just E. ↑,
76', Franco G. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
76', Stamenic M. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
81', Castellanos T. 🟨,
84', Solomon M. ↓, Soucek T. ↑,
85', Mukasa D. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League and 3rd in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.

Swansea has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

West Ham has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

West Ham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Swansea: Burgess C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Eustaquio S. (Shoulder Injury) Key J. (Muscle Injury) Lissah F. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for West Ham: Lamadrid K. (Injury).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Swansea has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:15 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Swansea against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32:15	17	22

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Ham: 13.27% Swansea: 7.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.68%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
13.10.26	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lincoln City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWL
- West Ham United
English League Championship
14.10.26	Lincoln City - West Ham United	0:6 ✺
09.10.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millwall - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	West Ham United - Fulham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
11.09.26	West Ham United - Wrexham	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.03.18	Swansea City - West Ham United	4:1
30.09.17	West Ham United - Swansea City	1:0
08.04.17	West Ham United - Swansea City	1:0
26.12.16	Swansea City - West Ham United	1:4
07.05.16	West Ham United - Swansea City	1:4
20.12.15	Swansea City - West Ham United	0:0
10.01.15	Swansea City - West Ham United	1:1

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