Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bradford City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.30	2.05	Watch
	3.40	3.30	2.15
	3.15	3.40	2.23	Watch
	3.43	3.48	2.20
	2.98	3.35	2.39	Watch
	3.45	3.40	2.12
	3.45	3.46	2.19	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
28.4%

Draw
28.1%

Burnley
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

26.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Bradford City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCracken J. (G) 2. Welch R. 28. Pennington M. (C) 5. Gillesphey M. 19. Jackson K. 32. Lapslie G. 20. Cartwright H. 3. Touray I. 8. Phillips A. 24. Swan W. 9. Beesley J.	37. Coudert G. (G) 14. Roberts C. (C) 18. Ekdal H. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 23. Lucas Pires 29. Laurent J. 8. Raghouber U. 12. Satpaev D. 11. Amdouni Z. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 27. Broja A.
Substitutes
6. Connolly C. 1. Dawson C. (G) 29. Ibbitson H. 30. Lunn O. 7. Neufville J. 23. Pointon B. 25. Powell N. 10. Sarcevic A. 4. Wright J.	3. Alleyne M. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 28. Mejbri H. 21. Ramsey A. 22. Sonne O. 2. Walker K. 1. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Alexander G.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Cartwright H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Beesley J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
62', Jackson K. ↓, Neufville J. ↑,
62', Lapslie G. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
62', Cartwright H. ↓, Connolly C. ↑,
80', Broja A. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
80', Raghouber U. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
80', Satpaev D. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
80', Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
83', Swan W. ↓, Pointon B. ↑,
90', Roberts C. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
90+3', Touray I. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Flemming Z. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sarcevic A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Amdouni Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gillesphey M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bruun Larsen J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Touray I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Edwards M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Phillips A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Bradford has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Burnley has had a series of home games.

Burnley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Injury) Banel J. (Injury) Barnes A. (Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bradford: Humphrys S. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Bradford City: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Bradford City - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League One
20.08.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bradford City - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Bradford City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Salford City - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
29.07.26	Bradford City - Preston North End	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
23.08.26	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Burnley - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burnley - Notts County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Burnley - Torino	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Burnley - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.16	Bradford City - Burnley	1:4
01.08.15	Bradford City - Burnley	0:2

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