The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 35.8%
Draw 28.9%
Notts County 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
28.6%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
27.8%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
62.5%
12.5%
Oldham Athletic - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 26. Payne K. 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 11. Stevens J.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 18. Palmer M. (C) 8. Norburn O. 10. Jones J. 11. Grant C. 14. Iorpenda T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 3. Leake J. 40. Simeu D. 7. Taylor K.
47. Bennetts K. 23. Browne L. 19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 16. Luker J. 39. Ndlovu L. 27. Tangen H.
Coaches
Mellon M.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Drummond K. ⚽, Payne K. (A),
24', Norburn O. 🟨,
28', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
34', Jones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Grant C. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
48', Norburn O. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
57', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
58', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
75', Woods R. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
75', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
75', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
75', Palmer M. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
84', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
84', Drummond K. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
Oldham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Notts County has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Hawkes J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
21
Oldham
9
2
2
5
9:13
-4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Notts County - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.