The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 55.9%
Draw 24.9%
Oldham Athletic 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
28%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.9%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Notts County - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. (C) 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 29. Jatta A. 26. Hall T.
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 26. Payne K. 10. Conlon T. (C) 8. Woods R. 15. Drummond K. 17. Quigley J. 28. Mellon M.
Substitutes
23. Aljofree S. 47. Bennetts K. 19. Dennis M. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O.
31. Donaghy T. (G) 9. Fondop-Talum M. 27. Hammond O. 19. Hannant L. 18. Morris K. 4. Pett T. 16. Sutton W.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Daniels D. (Own goal),
26', Daniels D. ↓, Sutton W. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Hall T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
46', Drummond K. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Hall T. (A),
54', 3 - 1, Mellon M. ⚽, Hudson M. (A),
55', Quigley J. ↓, Morris K. ↑,
56', Payne K. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
65', Hall T. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
65', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
65', Iorpenda T. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
68', Conlon T. 🟨,
78', Caprice J. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
86', Roos K. 🟨,
90+3', Palmer M. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
Notts County has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oldham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Oldham: Leake J.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
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Roos K. (G) 
Macari L. 
McDonald R. 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jones J. 
Jatta A. 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Quigley J. 
Bennetts K. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Hammond O. 
Paterson M. 
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