Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 4

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	Nova Iguaçu		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.48
	3.43	2.92	2.5
	3.15	2.82	2.51	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.4
	3.28	2.63	2.42
	3.2	2.62	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
29.4%

Draw
33.6%

Volta Redonda
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

35.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mota (G) 4. Yan Silva (C) 2. Ze Gabriel 6. Davi Soares 3. Wender 5. Jorge Pedra 8. Leo Rafael 7. Xandinho 10. Rickelme Lopes 11. Lucas Cruz 9. Leo David	1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 14. Rafael Castro 28. Lucas Adell 22. Juninho Monteiro 5. Bruno Barra (C) 17. Wagninho 10. PK 19. Blanco O. 11. MV 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
20. Alexandre Balbino 13. Arthur Neves 12. Arthur Vidal (G) 14. Augusto 22. Daniel Zavoli 16. Guilherme Kayron 21. Iago Lacerda 19. Luan Capanni 1. Matheus Miranda (G) 15. Pedro Thomaz 18. Thomasel 17. Vini Charopem	13. Alan 29. Caetano 23. Caio Silva 12. Deivity (G) 8. Dener 21. Henrique Silva 26. Joao Valenca 30. Juninho Ramos 20. Kaua Uba 7. Marquinhos 27. Mizael Monteiro 25. Vitor Parana
Coaches
Carlos Vitor	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Xandinho ⚽, Wender (A),
25', Yan Silva 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Ygor Catatau (Penalty Awarded),
35', Wender 🟨,
42', Blanco O. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, PK ⚽, Juninho Monteiro (A),
45+4', 2 - 2, Leo Rafael ⚽, Xandinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yan Silva ↓, Augusto ↑,
46', Leo David ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
46', Blanco O. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
60', Ze Gabriel ↓, Guilherme Kayron ↑,
61', Wagninho 🟨,
65', Augusto 🟨,
65', Wagninho ↓, Dener ↑,
74', Wender ↓, Arthur Neves ↑,
82', Dener 🟨,
83', Rickelme Lopes ↓, Alexandre Balbino ↑,
85', Lucas Cruz 🟨,
87', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Alan ↑,
90+1', PK ↓, Kaua Uba ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 2.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.01.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
27.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Araruama	1:2 penalties ✺
23.08.25	Araruama - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.25	Vila Nova - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
09.02.25	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
03.03.24	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	1:2
14.01.23	Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda	0:0
27.02.22	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	2:3
04.04.21	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	3:2
25.01.18	Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda	2:0
25.03.17	Volta Redonda - Nova Iguaçu	2:1

Nova Iguaçu - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide