Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 35

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Novara		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.85	Watch
	1.68	3.35	6.13
	1.75	3.34	4.61	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.71	3.22	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	5.18 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
54.6%

Draw
27.6%

Lumezzane
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Novara - Lumezzane Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 72. Agyemang G. 19. Collodel R. 99. Basso G. 70. Valdesi A. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 20. da Graca C.	50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 2. Deratti J. 29. Gallea F. 95. Motta M. 70. Mancini S. 19. Rolando M. 8. Rocca M. 21. Iori M. 20. Caccavo L. 32. Anatriello G.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 10. Donadio C. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 2. Scarpetta J. 77. Sibilio R.	12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 6. Colangiuli V. 17. De Marino D. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 11. Ghillani A. 10. Malotti M. 15. Ndiaye M. 14. Rihai A. 41. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Deratti J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Rolando M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Khailoti O. ↓, Lartey S. ↑,
46', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Collodel R. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Iori M. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Drago G. 🟨,
69', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Anatriello G. ⚽,
76', Anatriello G. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
76', Cannavaro A. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
81', Lartey S. 🟨,
81', Ledonne N. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
82', Iori M. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
87', Caccavo L. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
87', Mancini S. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Novara is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Novara won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Renate - Novara	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Novara - Alcione	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Lecco - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTW
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Renate - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1
11.04.25	Lumezzane - Novara	2:2
01.12.24	Novara - Lumezzane	0:0
30.03.24	Novara - Lumezzane	1:1
26.11.23	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1
10.05.15	Lumezzane - Novara	0:1
06.01.15	Novara - Lumezzane	1:3

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