The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 35%
Draw 34.6%
Ferro Carril Oeste 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
32.2%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
32%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nueva Chicago's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Nueva Chicago - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G)
7. Amarfil M.
3. Arroyo D.
8. Bottari T.
2. Callegari S.
10. Cardozo E.
9. Castro F.
4. Martinez A.
11. Paz A.
6. Rossi T.
5. Vega G. (C)
Substitutes
15. Altamirano G.
17. Arguello M.
14. Contreras A.
12. Diaz L. (G)
20. Maggi I.
19. Pastorelli A.
13. Rocaniere G.
16. Rodriguez J.
18. Villalba R.
Coaches
. Montenegro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Diaz G. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Cardozo E. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Castro F. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Vega G. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Blanco R. (Pen),
58', Retamar K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
70', Bottari T. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
70', Cardozo E. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
70', Paz A. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,
74', Villalba R. 🟨,
75', Vega G. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
75', Perez A. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
75', Mosca C. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
79', Altamirano G. 🟨,
81', Arguello M. 🟨,
82', Castro F. ↓, Maggi I. ↑,
88', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
88', Mussis F. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 2.
Recent matches Nueva Chicago is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ferro Carril is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nueva Chicago will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Chicago won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.