The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 50.8%
Draw 30.6%
Güemes 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
30.6%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
30.1%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
14.3%
7.1%
Nueva Chicago - Güemes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nueva Chicago will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Zalazar R. E. 6. Paz G. (C) 3. Barros D. 8. Vera M. 5. Gonzalez A. 7. Ocampo T. 10. Cardozo E. 11. Perez M. 9. Cocimano S.
1. Martinez L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Juarez W. 6. Lazza E. 3. Rizzi F. 11. Godoy F. 5. Baier G. 8. Benitez M. 10. Veliz D. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
20. Ambrogio L. 18. Castro F. 13. Gissi D. 12. Masuero F. (G) 15. Rodriguez T. 17. Rogoski M. 19. Ruiz A. 14. Trindade G. 16. Velozo G.
20. Amilivia T. 14. Arnay R. 16. Farrera S. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 18. Gerez M. 15. Gonzalez A. (G) 19. Juarez J. 13. Melillan F. 17. Pugliese G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Vera M. ⚽, Ocampo T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Perez M. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
60', Vera M. ↓, Gissi D. ↑,
60', Barros D. ↓, Ambrogio L. ↑,
60', Cardozo E. ↓, Rogoski M. ↑,
63', Palazzo B. 🟨,
68', Sala S. G. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Ambrogio L. ⚽, Rogoski M. (A),
76', Cocimano S. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
77', Veliz D. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
77', Benitez M. ↓, Farrera S. ↑,
81', Baier G. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
81', Juarez W. ↓, Melillan F. ↑,
88', Paz G. 🟨,
88', Lazza E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Nueva Chicago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Güemes - the odds 4.34 are the expected chance of winning is 21.06%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.