Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
World	DirecTV Sports


	Nueva Chicago		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.9	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.05	2.95	4	Watch
	2.19	2.94	4.02
	2.17	2.82	4.01	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.06	3	3.79
	2.05	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.48)	2.93 ↑ (2.84)	3.88 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
44.3%

Draw
31.7%

Racing de Córdoba
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

33.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

34.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nueva Chicago's performance.

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nueva Chicago that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Nueva Chicago - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Callegari S. (C) 6. Rossi T. 3. Arroyo D. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Bottari T. 10. Amarfil M. 11. Balbuena R. 7. Maggi I. 9. Castro F.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ferrero G. 3. Fernandez L. (C) 8. Olinick A. 5. Rostagno G. 7. Curuchet F. 10. Diaz G. 11. Monti C. L. 9. Nasta B.
Substitutes
18. Altamirano G. 17. Arguello M. 12. Diaz L. (G) 16. Ortiz M. 20. Pastorelli A. 19. Paz A. 13. Rocaniere G. 15. Vega G. 14. Zurita M.	20. Bayk J. 18. Cerato L. 15. Ghiggia F. 14. Gonzalez F. 12. Maslovski M. (G) 17. Mendez J. 13. Olivera W. 19. Oyola A. I. 16. Sanchez N.
Coaches
Montenegro A.	Cochas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Nasta B. ⚽,
12', Arguello J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez T. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
49', Callegari S. 🟨,
59', Curuchet F. ↓, Ghiggia F. ↑,
64', Arguello J. 🟨,
66', Diaz G. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
67', Arroyo D. 🟨,
70', Arroyo D. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,
70', Bottari T. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Ortiz M. ⚽,
76', Ortiz M. 🟨,
77', Castro F. 🟨,
77', Martinez A. 🟨,
79', Maggi I. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
80', Amarfil M. ↓, Zurita M. ↑,
81', Olinick A. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
90+3', Rossi T. 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Racing de Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nueva Chicago will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.10.24	Nueva Chicago - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Temperley - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
07.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.10.24	San Martín de San Juan - Racing de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Racing de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
04.10.24	Racing de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTTL

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