Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.9
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.4	2.7	3.2
	2.42	2.81	3.47
	2.29	2.89	3.42
	2.41	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
38.4%

Draw
32.9%

Atlético Baleares
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

34%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

32.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Numancia - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Numancia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Baleares has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Numancia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.02.23	La Nucía - Numancia	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Sabadell - Numancia	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Numancia - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcoyano - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.02.23	Atlético Baleares - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Castellón - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Atlético Baleares - Cornellà	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	Eldense - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Atlético Baleares - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1

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