Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Eldense		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.9	2.95	3.9
	1.6	3.35	4.8
	1.92	3.13	4.47
	1.88	3.14	4.45
	1.93	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.59)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	4.29 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
49.4%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Baleares
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

27.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

27.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eldense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Baleares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Eldense - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Baleares will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlético Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Eldense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.23	Eldense - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Real Unión de Irun - Eldense	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Intercity - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.23	Eldense - Athletic Bilbao	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.01.23	Atlético Baleares - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	UD Logroñés - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Baleares	1:3 ✺
18.12.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Atlético Baleares - Eldense	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.03.17	Atlético Baleares - Eldense	5:0
16.10.16	Eldense - Atlético Baleares	0:5
17.01.16	Eldense - Atlético Baleares	1:0
30.08.15	Atlético Baleares - Eldense	2:1
17.05.15	Eldense - Atlético Baleares	1:0
04.01.15	Atlético Baleares - Eldense	0:0

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