Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.3	2.65	3.1
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.55	2.71	3.39
	2.47	2.73	3.3
	2.4	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
37.9%

Draw
33.6%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-3%)

Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.23	Sabadell - Numancia	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Numancia - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcoyano - Numancia	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Numancia - Amorebieta	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	SD Logroñés - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.02.23	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Intercity - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Cornellà - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.19	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	2:0
02.12.18	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0
21.04.18	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	0:0
19.11.17	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2
18.02.17	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Numancia	2:0
17.09.16	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0

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