Match Info

Date: 15 February 2020, Saturday


	Numancia		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.3	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.3
	2.6	2.75	3.15	Watch
	2.51	2.85	3.02
	2.66	2.83	3.22
	2.56	2.97	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	3.18 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
37.5%

Draw
32.8%

Las Palmas
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

32%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

23.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Palmas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	51.9%	7.4%

Numancia - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.20	Málaga - Numancia	2:1 ✺
02.02.20	Numancia - Almería	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Zaragoza - Numancia	1:0 ✺
18.01.20	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
15.01.20	Alcorcón - Numancia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.20	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
01.02.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
25.01.20	Las Palmas - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
19.01.20	Racing Santander - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
14.01.20	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.19	Las Palmas - Numancia	3:1
09.06.19	Numancia - Las Palmas	1:1
20.10.18	Las Palmas - Numancia	3:0
21.03.15	Numancia - Las Palmas	4:2
19.10.14	Las Palmas - Numancia	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.10.14	Las Palmas - Numancia	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.14	Las Palmas - Numancia	0:0

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