Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, LaLiga Hypermotion, TV Canaria
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Las Palmas		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.45	6.9	Watch
	1.4	5.04	8.06
	1.41	4.78	7.43	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.31	6.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	4.6 ↑ (3.83)	7.23 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
66.6%

Draw
20.4%

Zaragoza
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Las Palmas - Zaragoza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 14. Fuster M. 16. Amatucci L. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 18. Miyashiro T. 10. Jese 39. Pedrola E.	13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 33. Saidu Y. 16. Radovanovic A. 27. Larios J. 23. Cuenca M. A. 8. Moya T. 6. Bare K. (C) 25. Cumic N. 19. Kodro K. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
7. Benedetti N. 49. Bravo I. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 38. Medina I. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.	22. Agada W. 20. Aguirregabiria M. 24. Akouokou P. 36. Gomes A. 10. Guti R. 26. Mensah M. 17. Moyano F. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Navarro D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Bare K. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jese ⚽,
45+2', Kodro K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Cumic N. 🟨,
56', Pedrola E. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
57', Cumic N. ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
63', Marvin ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
63', Miyashiro T. ↓, Pejino ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Cuenca M. A. ⚽, Pinilla H. (A),
82', Moya T. ↓, Terrer L. ↑,
82', Bare K. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
83', Gomez D. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
84', Fuster M. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
84', Alex Suarez ↓, Pezzolesi V. ↑,
86', Sebastian J. ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
90+2', Guti R. 🟨,
90+7', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.

Las Palmas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zaragoza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Las Palmas is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Loiodice E. (Ankle Injury) Ramirez S. (Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Sergio Barcia (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Knee Injury) Andrada E. (Red Card) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Francho (Inactive) Guti R. (Coach's decision) Insua P. (Inactive) Tachi (Knee Injury) Valery (Shoulder Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Marvin (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Gonzalez R. (Inactive)

We predict that Las Palmas will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	FC Andorra - Las Palmas	5:1 ✺
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.26	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Zaragoza - Granada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Zaragoza - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2
30.04.23	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:1
13.08.22	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:0
19.02.22	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	2:1
13.11.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	2:3
15.05.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:2
26.09.20	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	2:2

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