The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siracusa 38.6%
Draw 29%
Audace Cerignola 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
28.4%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
28.5%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Audace Cerignola aligns with the current prediction.
Siracusa - Audace Cerignola Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 4. Sapola M. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 20. Gudelevicius E. 17. Candiano M. (C) 24. Limonelli C. 77. Di Paolo S. 14. Contini G. 19. Valente N.
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. (C) 15. Ligi A. 99. Parlato C. 24. Moreso O. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 3. Russo L. 9. Gambale D. 33. D'Orazio L.
Substitutes
9. Arditi G. 39. Barcio G. 25. Bonacchi C. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 38. Chiara E. 13. Falla R. 28. Frisenna G. 42. Iob S. 30. Morreale M. 96. Sylla A. (G)
17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 7. Dabizas A. 21. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 71. Ianzano D. . Nanula D. 25. Spaltro R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Vitale G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
77', Pacciardi F. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Gambale D. ⚽,
83', Vitale G. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
83', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
86', Candiano M. ↓, Arditi G. ↑,
86', Puzone M. ↓, Morreale M. ↑,
88', Gambale D. ↓, Dabizas A. ↑,
90+3', D'Orazio L. ↓, Cocorocchio M. ↑,
90+3', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
90+7', Dabizas A. 🟨,
90+9', Candiano M. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siracusa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Audace Cerignola
9
4
2
3
14:9
5
14
Last Results with these Odds
Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.21%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.