Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Nuova Cosenza		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.28	3.71
	2.06	3.31	3.33	Watch
	1.95	3	3.4
	2.05	3.42	3.47	Watch
	2	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	3.51 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
45.5%

Draw
28.3%

Casertana
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Nuova Cosenza - Casertana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 27. Ba R. 77. Langella C. 10. Garritano L. 7. Cannavo K. 90. Emmausso M. 23. Achour S.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 4. Kontek I. 94. Liotti D. 8. Proia F. 99. Saco C. 16. Pezzella S. 10. Leone K. 9. Kallon Y. 7. Butic K.
Substitutes
5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A. 40. Vannucchi T. (G)	51. Arzillo V. 20. Bentivegna A. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 12. Merolla E. (G) 81. Severino G. 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Saco C. 🟨,
16', Ba R. 🟨,
28', Butic K. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Liotti D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Vettorel T. 🟨,
45+2', Llano Massa M. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ba R. ↓, Contiliano N. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Dametto P. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Achour S. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Contiliano N. ⚽,
79', Caporale A. 🟨,
80', Pezzella S. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
90+1', Saco C. 🟨,
90+3', Garritano L. ↓, Contiero L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 0.

Cosenza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casertana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cosenza might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Casertana	11	4	5	2	16:14	2	17
19	Cosenza	11	1	3	7	9:23	-14	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
25.01.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
25.01.26	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casertana - Benevento	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Altamura - Casertana	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Giugliano - Casertana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.25	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
15.05.18	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
25.02.18	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
06.10.17	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	0:3
26.03.17	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
06.11.16	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	1:2
20.02.16	Casertana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1

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