Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.58	3.45	2.45
	2.82	3.6	2.52
	2.64	3.52	2.5	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.69	3.4	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)	3.48 ↓ (3.71)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cesena
35.1%

Draw
26.9%

Frosinone
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	42.9%	50%

Cesena - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Frosinone will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 4. Castagnetti M. 25. Bisoli D. 18. Guidi M. 7. Cerri A. 9. Shpendi C.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 6. Gelli J. 3. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 14. Calo G. (C) 8. Koutsoupias I. 16. Cichella M. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 10. Bastoni S. 27. Corazza T. 74. Domeniconi R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 39. Fontana N. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 44. Kebbeh M. 32. Olivieri M. 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I.	79. Bracaglia G. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 10. Gelli F. 11. Gori L. 92. Kone B. L. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 30. Monterisi I. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Guidi M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Corrado N. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
45+4', Shpendi C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Piacentini M. 🟨,
52', Gelli J. 🟨,
57', Guidi M. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Corazza T. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
64', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
65', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
73', Bisoli D. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
73', Ciofi A. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
77', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
77', Cichella M. ↓, Bracaglia G. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Corazza T. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),
84', Cichella M. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
85', Shpendi C. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
85', Berti T. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
88', Amoran P. 🟨,
90+5', Francesconi M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.

Cesena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Frosinone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Injury) Bracaglia G. (Inactive) Cittadini G. (Injury) Monterisi I. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Frosinone - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
07.03.26	Modena - Cesena	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Empoli - Cesena	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.03.26	Frosinone - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
04.03.26	Frosinone - Pescara	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Catanzaro - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Frosinone - Empoli	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Spezia - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Frosinone - Cesena	3:1
13.04.25	Cesena - Frosinone	1:1
01.12.24	Frosinone - Cesena	3:2
28.04.18	Cesena - Frosinone	1:0
02.12.17	Frosinone - Cesena	3:3
31.03.17	Cesena - Frosinone	1:1
29.10.16	Frosinone - Cesena	2:1

Upcoming Matches