Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Juve Stabia		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3	3.1	2.42	Watch
	3.09	3.13	2.56
	2.92	2.98	2.58	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.08	3.13	2.52	Watch
	3	3.1	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	3.11 ↓ (3.28)	2.4 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
30.1%

Draw
30.5%

Cremonese
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

27.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Juve Stabia - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Cremonese will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 45. Peda P. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 98. Mosti N. 10. Pierobon C. 28. Andreoni C. 9. Adorante A. 11. Piscopo K. 27. Candellone L.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 55. Folino F. 23. Ceccherini F. 15. Bianchetti M. 4. Barbieri T. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
13. Baldi M. 7. Dubickas E. 55. Leone G. 80. Louati A. 37. Maistro F. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 17. Morachioli G. 2. Quaranta D. 3. Rocchetti Y. 18. Sgarbi L. 24. Varnier M.	90. Bonazzoli F. 12. Drago G. (G) 14. Gelli F. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 30. Tannander J. (G) 25. Triacca D. 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Pierobon C. ⚽,
38', Mosti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
55', Ruggero M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Adorante A. ⚽,
63', De Luca M. (Pen),
64', Vandeputte J. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
69', De Luca M. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
74', Floriani R. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
74', Mosti N. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Johnsen D. ⚽, Barbieri T. (A),
79', Peda P. 🟨,
81', Adorante A. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
83', Castagnetti M. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
89', Piscopo K. ↓, Louati A. ↑,
89', Candellone L. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Juve Stabia has had a series of home games.

Cremonese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Buglio D. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Saro G. (Knee Injury) Zanimacchia L. (Overload)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Fortini N. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
17.05.25	Juve Stabia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
09.05.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Brescia - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLTW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Pisa - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
01.05.25	Sampdoria - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Cremonese - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.04.25	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	1:1
20.10.24	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	1:2
27.07.20	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	1:2
26.12.19	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	1:1

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