Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.28	2.88	3.45	Watch
	2.43	2.76	3.83
	2.27	2.89	3.62	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.3
	2.38	2.74	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.13)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
40.6%

Draw
33%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Sampdoria - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Südtirol (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 13. Palma M. 2. Viti M. 21. Giordano S. 16. Henderson L. 8. Ricci M. (C) 28. Abildgaard O. 10. Cherubini L. 99. Brunori M. 11. Begic T.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 34. Veseli F. 19. Pietrangeli N. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 7. Zedadka K. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
7. Cicconi M. 9. Coda M. 33. Conti F. 23. Depaoli F. 94. Esposito Sa. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 20. Pafundi S. 77. Pierini N. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E.	1. Borra D. (G) 46. Brik D. 17. Casiraghi D. 89. Crnigoj D. 23. Davi F. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 13. Sabatini C. 11. Tonin R. 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Lombardo A.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Molina S. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Abildgaard O. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Palma M. 🟨,
61', Zedadka K. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
61', Tronchin S. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
62', Crnigoj D. 🟨,
69', Palma M. ↓, Hadzikadunic D. ↑,
69', Cherubini L. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
74', Henderson L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
77', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
82', Merkaj S. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
82', Molina S. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
90+1', Brunori M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
90+2', Begic T. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
90+3', Conti F. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1.

Sampdoria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Südtirol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sampdoria could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Coda M. (Inactive) Malanca L. (Inactive) Pafundi S. (Inactive) Pierini N. (Inactive) Venuti L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Südtirol: Bordon F. (Inactive) Cragno A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kofler R. (Inactive) Verdi S. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Pescara - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.08.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	3:1
15.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	2:1
21.09.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
13.04.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
28.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	3:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.23	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 penalties

Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide