Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.75	1.32
	8.2	4.85	1.34
	7.33	4.88	1.34
	7.85	4.78	1.37	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.3
	7.9	4.9	1.33
	8.2	4.85	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.75 ↑ (5.94)	4.82 ↑ (4.33)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
11.9%

Draw
19.1%

Aarhus Fremad
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

20.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brogaard T. (G) 2. Angus O. 23. Gartig O. 19. Koch Hansen V. 5. Molgaard V. 14. Nykjaer M. 7. Nyman L. 8. Pank J. 4. Pedersen A. 12. Svendsen O. 10. Wass E.	30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G) 8. Baekgard S. 34. Denius S. 6. Grube F. 16. Holvad A. 12. Junge G. 17. Kirchheiner M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 5. Nissen E. 29. Segun 24. Thorsen J.
Substitutes
15. Berner R. 18. Frederiksen M. 9. Hojmark-Jensen A. 29. Larsen N. 21. Nilsson E. 25. Rasmussen J. (G) 22. Rasmussen M.	70. Beluli J. 20. Callo G. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 11. Lunding K. 10. Mortensen E. 26. Nwoke C. (G) 19. Wagner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Segun ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 1.

Nykøbing has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aarhus Fremad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aarhus Fremad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aarhus Fremad is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aarhus Fremad to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:16 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
04.10.24	Næstved BK - Nykøbing	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Middelfart - Nykøbing	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Nykøbing - Ishøj IF	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Skive IK - Nykøbing	4:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.24	Nykøbing - Fremad Amager	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 2 Division
05.10.24	Aarhus Fremad - Skive IK	4:0 ✺
29.09.24	Fremad Amager - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Aarhus Fremad - BK Frem	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Thisted - Aarhus Fremad	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad	1:4
20.04.24	Aarhus Fremad - Nykøbing	5:0
06.04.24	Aarhus Fremad - Nykøbing	5:0
16.09.23	Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad	0:1
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
11.06.16	Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad	2:0
30.04.16	Aarhus Fremad - Nykøbing	1:1

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