Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Náutico Capibaribe		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.28	3	2.92	Watch
	2.36	3.1	3.24
				Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.27	3.23	3.13	Watch
	2.28	3	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.19)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	2.99 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%

Draw
29.8%

Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Maringá (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Muriel Becker (C) 80. Bruno Mezenga 33. Carlinhos 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Igor Pereira 12. Kelvin 8. Marco Antonio 17. Marcos Ytalo 25. Mateus Silva 20. Patrick Allan 7. Vinicius	1. Tony Batista (G) 14. Buga 2. Cristovam 7. Edison Negueba 19. Julio Rodrigues 9. Moraes 35. Pingo 33. Rhuan 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 4. Vilar 21. Vitinho
Substitutes
35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 39. Eduardo 11. Helio Borges 13. Indio 15. Kayon 30. Marco Antonio 41. Otusanya O. 26. Raimar 3. Rayan 48. Ribeiro W. 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson	20. Bruno Cheron 27. Ibson 18. Jhow Alecxander 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 29. Rai Natalino 22. Raphinha 11. Robertinho 8. Vinicius Amaral
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Jorge Castilho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Igor Pereira ⚽,
17', Vilar 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mateus Silva ↓, Rayan ↑,
46', Pingo ↓, Vinicius Amaral ↑,
46', Vitinho ↓, Jhow Alecxander ↑,
47', Igor Pereira 🟨,
50', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Edison Negueba (Pen),
63', Moraes ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
63', Cristovam ↓, Robertinho ↑,
64', Kelvin ↓, Wenderson ↑,
64', Patrick Allan ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
69', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Kayon ↑,
75', Buga 🟨,
79', Igor Pereira ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
83', Buga ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
89', Carlinhos 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.25	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ypiranga - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLW
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Maringá - Ituano	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Maringá	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Maringá - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	CS Alagoano - Maringá	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLTL

Upcoming Matches