Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rennes		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.75	4.58
	1.78	3.8	4.41	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.86	3.76	4.4	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	3.67 ↓ (3.84)	4.38 (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
52.3%

Draw
26%

Lorient
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	24.1%	3.4%

Rennes - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .

AH -0.75 - Rennes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 21. Rongier V. (C) 6. Cisse D. 45. Camara M. 26. Merlin Q. 7. Embolo B. 9. Lepaul E.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 3. Talbi M. 2. Igor Silva 11. Le Bris T. 8. Cadiou N. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 29. Karim D. 12. Dieng B.
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 10. Blas L. 35. Legendre E. 39. Meite M. 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 17. Szymanski S. 11. Tamari M.	32. Adjei N. 62. Avom A. 21. Kamara B. (G) 33. Kone M. 35. Leaudais L. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 10. Pagis P. 14. Sanusi T. 28. Soumano S.
Coaches
Beye H.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Makengo J. ⚽, Talbi M. (A),
19', Lepaul E. 🟨,
32', Rongier V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Frankowski P. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
59', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
60', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
63', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
63', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
74', Igor Silva ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
74', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
77', Camara M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Pagis P. ⚽,
81', Embolo B. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.

Rennes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lorient is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rennes is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Tosin A. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lorient: Avom A. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Knee Injury) Mvuka Mugisha J. (Ankle Injury) Soumano S. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.09% Lorient: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
13	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Chantilly - Rennes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Rennes - Les Sables	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWW
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Monaco - Lorient	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Lorient - Metz	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Le Gosier - Lorient	0:7 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Strasbourg - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.08.25	Lorient - Rennes	4:0
03.03.24	Rennes - Lorient	1:2
22.10.23	Lorient - Rennes	2:1
27.01.23	Lorient - Rennes	2:1
07.08.22	Rennes - Lorient	0:1
24.04.22	Rennes - Lorient	5:0
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Rennes - Lorient	1:0

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