Match Info

Date: 3 November 2020, Tuesday


	Porto		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.95	3.6	4.3
	1.86	3.55	4.3
	1.93	3.61	4.39
	1.88	3.5	4.33
	1.94	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↓ (3.56)	4.3 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
50.6%

Draw
27%

Olympique Marseille
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

17.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	7.1%	4.9%

Porto - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (198 of 225 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.75% – 92.25%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Porto has a good chance of round of 16 (58%), has a chance of qtrs (17%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille has a small chance of round of 16 (8%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
30.10.20	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Porto - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
24.10.20	Porto - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Manchester City - Porto	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.10.20	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLT
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Olympique Marseille - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.10.20	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.20	Olympique Marseille - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.13	Olympique Marseille - Porto	0:3

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