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Current Win Probability
Olympique Marseille 31%
Draw 29%
Porto 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
29.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
21.3%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.6%
17.8%
67.5%
Olympique Marseille - Porto Predictions
Users Predictions:
157 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 23 - 14.6%). Porto will win (votes: 106 - 67.5%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 17.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 60.2% – 74.8%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Marseille has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Porto has a good chance of round of 16 (78%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Marseille is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Porto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Marseille have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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