Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, RTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.6	3.2
	2.04	3.9	3.52
	2.28	3.75	2.79	Watch
	2.09	3.74	3.26	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.65)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	3.15 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
44.2%

Draw
25.6%

Bochum
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bochum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bochum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Nürnberg - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bochum will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bochum (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Bochum (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (G) 8. Koudossou H. 4. Gruber F. 24. Lochoshvili L. 21. Yilmaz B. 20. Demba P. 6. Markhiev A. 18. Lubach R. 25. Becker F. O. 10. Justvan J. 23. Zoma M. A.	1. Horn T. (G) 4. Masovic E. 7. Vogt K. 3. Strompf P. 39. Morgalla L. 15. Passlack F. 34. Lenz C. 19. Bero M. 32. Wittek M. 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.
Substitutes
17. Chaikhoun A. 5. Drexler T. 39. Grimaldi A. 19. Grzywacz E. 32. Janisch T. 31. Knoche R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 11. Stepanov A. 9. Telalovic S.	14. Clairicia M. 20. Loosli N. 10. Obafemi M. 21. Onyeka F. 24. Pannewig M. 26. Rosch R. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.
Coaches
Klose M.	Siebers D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Masovic E. 🟨,
39', Vogt K. 🟨,
44', Lubach R. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
45+4', Lenz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Masovic E. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
60', Vogt K. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
60', Holtmann G. ↓, Loosli N. ↑,
60', Hofmann P. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
61', Strompf P. 🟨,
68', 1 - 0, Justvan J. ⚽,
71', Strompf P. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
74', Justvan J. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
76', Loosli N. 🟨,
85', Janisch T. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Sissoko I. (Pen),
89', Zoma M. A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
90', Koudossou H. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.

Nürnberg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bochum has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bochum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nürnberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Koscierski K. (Shoulder Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury) Strompf P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Bochum - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Bochum	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.05.21	Nürnberg - Bochum	1:1
16.01.21	Bochum - Nürnberg	3:1
30.05.20	Nürnberg - Bochum	0:0
04.11.19	Bochum - Nürnberg	3:1
25.02.18	Bochum - Nürnberg	0:0
21.09.17	Nürnberg - Bochum	3:1
26.02.17	Nürnberg - Bochum	0:1

Upcoming Matches