Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.8
	1.78	3.7	3.95
	1.86	3.95	4.33
	1.91	3.56	3.86	Watch
	1.85	3.86	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.77 ↓ (3.89)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
51.2%

Draw
25.1%

Bochum
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

24.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	11.5%	7.7%

Paderborn - Bochum Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Paderborn (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 17. Curda L. 20. Gotze F. (C) 4. Brackelmann C. 9. Batzner N. 22. Hansen M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 14. Baur M. 27. Tigges S.	1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 7. Vogt K. 20. Loosli N. 26. Rosch R. 21. Onyeka F. 34. Lenz C. 17. Holtmann G. 19. Bero M. (C) 8. Watjen K. 33. Hofmann P.
Substitutes
28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 26. Klaas S. 30. Marino S. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 18. Worner M.	29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 14. Clairicia M. 25. Hulsenbusch D. 4. Masovic E. 10. Obafemi M. 24. Pannewig M. 15. Passlack F. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G)
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Hofmann P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vogt K. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
53', Lenz C. 🟨,
58', Rosch R. 🟨,
68', Horn T. 🟨,
69', Baur M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
69', Bilbija F. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
69', Batzner N. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
75', Hofmann P. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
75', Watjen K. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
82', Morgalla L. ↓, Hulsenbusch D. ↑,
85', Curda L. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
85', Tigges S. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
86', Rosch R. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
89', Muller R. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Copado L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Kleine-Bekel C. (Illness) Koscierski K. (Shoulder Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury) Strompf P. (Muscle Injury) Wittek M. (Illness)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Muller R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTW
- VfL Bochum
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Bochum - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Bochum	1:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Bochum - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.12.22	Paderborn - Bochum	1:1
08.07.22	Paderborn - Bochum	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.21	Paderborn - Bochum	3:0
11.12.20	Bochum - Paderborn	3:0
09.02.19	Bochum - Paderborn	1:2
31.08.18	Paderborn - Bochum	2:2
German DFB Pokal
24.10.17	Paderborn - Bochum	2:0

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