The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
OHiggins 37.1%
Draw 28.9%
Deportes Concepción 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
28.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
27.6%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OHiggins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OHiggins - Deportes Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 2. Morales C. 22. Robledo A. (C) 21. Garrido N. 20. Diaz L. 11. Leiva J. 17. Aviles T. 7. Toloza S. 28. Bou W. 9. Castillo A. 29. Yanez B.
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 20. Henriquez J. 16. Sandoval M. 17. Zambrano C. 32. Larrivey J. (C) 30. Espinoza E.
Substitutes
31. Carabali O. (G) 26. Godoy R. 34. Leiva B. 27. Movillo J. 38. Poblete J. 10. Rabello B. 25. Schor I. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T.
27. Acosta D. 24. Cavalleri M. 9. Escobar C. 31. Fuentes N. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 15. Montecinos J. 23. Riquelme C. 36. Sepulveda B. (G)
Coaches
Bovaglio L.
Diaz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
43', Zambrano C. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Montecinos J. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
63', Toloza S. 🟨,
65', Toloza S. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
69', Sandoval M. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Castillo A. ⚽,
80', Bou W. ↓, Leiva B. ↑,
80', Yanez B. ↓, Rabello B. ↑,
84', Sandoval M. ↓, Fuentes N. ↑,
84', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
84', Henriquez J. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Schor I. ⚽, Rabello B. (A),
90', Aviles T. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
90', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
OHiggins is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Deportes Concepción have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
OHiggins is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, OHiggins has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for OHiggins against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.