Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 16

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	OHiggins		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.7
	1.9	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.84	3.9
	1.9	3.72	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.91	3.7	3.69	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)	3.69 ↓ (3.78)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
49.4%

Draw
25.4%

Deportes Copiapó
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

OHiggins - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Copiapó will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OHiggins: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Peranic N. (G) 23. Torrealba B. 17. Gonzalez M. 14. Diaz J. 4. Castillo P. 6. Fuentes J. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 18. Buonanotte D. 30. Tapia J. 21. Bianchi O. 15. Zapata Y.	1. Leyton R. (G) 17. Nieto B. 8. Vargas N. 15. Garcia D. 6. Calisto F. 5. Manzano F. 32. Soto B. 10. Luna J. 11. Reynero F. 29. Quinteros M. 26. Torres F.
Substitutes
11. Auzqui C. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Leiva Y. 24. Matamoros N. 27. Moreira E. 5. Moya C. 10. Rabello B.	30. Carrasco D. 31. Diaz I. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 9. Figueroa T. 20. Gonzalez Y. 7. Leonardo Pais 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A.
Coaches
Fuentes V.	Basay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Buonanotte D. ⚽, Tapia J. (A),
15', Zapata Y. 🟨,
43', Torrealba B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Bianchi O. (Pen),
58', Zapata Y. ↓, Rabello B. ↑,
63', Fuentes J. 🟨,
65', Tapia J. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
65', Buonanotte D. ↓, Moya C. ↑,
67', Torres F. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
67', Reynero F. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
69', Soto B. ↓, Leonardo Pais ↑,
71', Manzano F. 🟨,
74', Nieto B. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
74', Calisto F. ↓, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↑,
76', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
76', Bianchi O. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
77', Luna J. 🟨,
86', Figueroa T. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches OHiggins is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Copiapó is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match OHiggins is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches OHiggins won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams OHiggins won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Cup
30.06.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Lautaro de Buin - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.24	Cobreloa - OHiggins	0:4 ✺
25.05.24	OHiggins - Cobresal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWT
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Cup
29.06.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:1 ✺
22.06.24	Deportes Copiapó - Cobresal	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Municipal Mejillones - Deportes Copiapó	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.06.24	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
17.02.24	Deportes Copiapó - OHiggins	1:3
12.08.23	OHiggins - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
27.02.23	Deportes Copiapó - OHiggins	2:2

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