Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 15

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.37	2.62
	2.79	3.37	2.62
	2.6	3.3	2.4
	2.66	3.42	2.49	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.66)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
34.7%

Draw
28.1%

OHiggins
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Cobreloa - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). OHiggins will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 24. Garcia L. 30. Gonzalez D. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 20. Sandoval M. 11. Leiva J. 17. Bravo C. 33. Fernandez P. 12. Monroy B.	22. Peranic N. (G) 14. Diaz J. 15. Diaz A. 17. Gonzalez M. 29. Contreras S. 5. Moya C. 6. Fuentes J. (C) 7. Martin Sarrafiore 10. Rabello B. 9. Castillo A. 28. Calderon E.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 8. Cornejo L. 32. Mulet A. 14. Orrego N. 6. Palma N. 4. Tapia B. 37. Valdes B.	21. Bianchi O. 18. Buonanotte D. 1. Carreno D. (G) 16. Castillo C. 20. Felipe Ogaz 30. Tapia J. 23. Torrealba B.
Coaches
Giovagnoli D.	Fuentes V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Moya C. ⚽,
16', Bravo C. 🟥,
29', Rabello B. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Moya C. (Pen),
45+3', Martin Sarrafiore 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
49', Monroy B. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
50', Calderon E. 🟥,
53', 0 - 3, Moya C. ⚽,
62', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Felipe Ogaz ↑,
62', Castillo A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
67', Orrego N. 🟨,
68', 0 - 4, Bianchi O. ⚽, Moya C. (A),
72', Garcia L. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
75', Rabello B. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
81', Sandoval M. 🟨,
88', Fuentes J. 🟨,
90+1', Fuentes J. ↓, Torrealba B. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1.

Cobreloa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

OHiggins is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Universidad Católica - Cobreloa	4:1 ✺
18.05.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
05.05.24	Cobreloa - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Ñublense - Cobreloa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	OHiggins - Cobresal	2:2 ✺
19.05.24	Ñublense - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
05.05.24	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	0:5 ✺
26.04.24	OHiggins - Unión Española	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Cobreloa - OHiggins	2:2 penalties
23.06.21	OHiggins - Cobreloa	1:0
Chilean Primera Division
05.02.15	Cobreloa - OHiggins	0:0
16.08.14	OHiggins - Cobreloa	4:1
05.04.14	Cobreloa - OHiggins	2:1
08.11.13	OHiggins - Cobreloa	1:0
03.05.13	OHiggins - Cobreloa	1:1

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