Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland)

Referee: DeShun B. (Usa)


	Oakland Roots		Rio Grande Valley

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.4
	1.85	3.5	3.65
	1.93	3.41	3.94
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.87	3.48	3.78	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
47.8%

Draw
26.9%

Rio Grande Valley
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Oakland Roots - Rio Grande Valley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oakland Roots will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Blanchette P. (G) 6. Morad T. 4. Nane J. (C) 14. Barbir D. 23. Diaz M. 22. Cedeno J. 15. Gomez D. 19. Prentice W. 10. Mfeka L. 9. Formella D. 17. Rodriguez J.	1. Deric T. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. (C) 19. Kinzner E. 6. Benitez G. 8. Davila T. 23. Francois C. 17. Cerro I. 16. Coronado R. 10. Pinzon C.
Substitutes
47. Bailey T. (G) 38. Cruz E. 16. Her R. 21. Klimenta E. 18. Pelaez A. 11. Reid T. 3. Wright K.	13. Cabrera W. 11. Galindrez J. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 20. Ritondale T. 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Delgado N.	Cabrera W.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Oakland Roots has the most likely position - 5 (14.12%), project points - 53, currently - 21, a good chance of playoffs (90%), a chance of qtrs (42%), a chance of semis (20%), a small chance of final (9%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 12 (35.12%), project points - 34, currently - 12, a small chance of playoffs (12%), a very small chance of qtrs (4%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oakland Roots is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rio Grande Valley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oakland Roots will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Oakland Roots won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
24.06.23	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
10.06.23	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
02.06.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTWW
- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
21.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Miami	3:3 ✺
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.03.23	Rio Grande Valley - Oakland Roots	1:1
11.06.22	Oakland Roots - Rio Grande Valley	2:2
12.03.22	Rio Grande Valley - Oakland Roots	1:0

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