The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakland Roots 35.6%
Draw 28.2%
Sacramento Republic 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
28.2%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
28.7%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (G) 17. Tingey K. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 27. Jacquesson B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 6. Byaruhanga B. 10. Valot F. 11. de Vicente J. 99. Trejo D. 9. Wilson P.
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 15. Essel A. 18. Kaye M. 24. Casas J. 20. Willey B. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 16. Wolff T.
Substitutes
77. Bettache F. 23. Bravo J. 12. Gibson T. 19. Kiil J. 21. Lepley T. 38. Lopez E. 42. Martinez Sorrosa E. 7. Prentice W. 33. Spiegel R. (G)
27. Crisostomo D. 71. Edwards K. 19. Midence A. 43. Paskey R. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 55. Ukaegbu C.
Coaches
Martin R.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Valot F. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Gurr J. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Valot F. ⚽, Tingey K. (A),
26', Essel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Essel A. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
59', Jacquesson B. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
69', Wolff T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Edwards K. ⚽,
76', Casas J. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
76', Malango M. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
84', Valot F. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
84', Byaruhanga B. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
89', de Vicente J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
89', Tingey K. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Edwards K. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1.
Oakland Roots is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sacramento Republic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oakland Roots may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Oakland Roots - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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McIntosh K. (G) 
Hackshaw N. 
Jacquesson B. 
Byaruhanga B. 
de Vicente J. 
Wilson P. 
Gurr J. 
Desmond L. (C) 
Essel A. 
Kaye M. 
Malango M. 
Spiegel R. (G) 
Edwards K. 
Midence A. 
Collins N. 
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