Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Oakland Roots		Miami

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.46	4.25	5.40
	1.52	4.49	5.86
	1.57	4.33	4.96	Watch
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.47	4.20	5.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	4.21 ↑ (4.05)	5.29 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
60.9%

Draw
21.8%

Miami
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oakland Roots's performance.

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oakland Roots that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Oakland Roots - Miami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (G) 11. de Vicente J. 34. Edwards M. 17. Tingey K. 23. Bravo J. 10. Valot F. 4. McCabe T. 77. Bettache F. 6. Byaruhanga B. 7. Prentice W. 27. Jacquesson B.	31. Rodriguez F. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. (C) 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 5. Tori R. 6. Tulu 23. Musto T. 22. Da Costa R. 9. Sonora J. 18. Diallo M.
Substitutes
8. Elmasnaouy A. 12. Gibson T. 15. Hackshaw N. 19. Kiil J. 21. Lepley T. 44. Roberson B. 33. Spiegel R. (G) 99. Trejo D.	35. Bent B. 16. Diaz G. 38. Garcia A. 37. Mello D. 27. Ndongo M. 41. Rodriguez J. (G) 7. Tunbridge M.
Coaches
Martin R.	Maddoni G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Tulu 🟨,
44', Diallo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Byaruhanga B. 🟨,
55', Diallo M. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
58', Bettache F. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
58', Byaruhanga B. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
61', de Vicente J. 🟨,
62', Sonora J. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
62', Tulu ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
72', Mello D. 🟨,
74', Prentice W. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
75', Da Costa R. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
81', Trejo D. 🟨,
84', Jacquesson B. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
86', Calfo A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Oakland Roots has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Miami is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oakland Roots is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oakland Roots won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Cup
06.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- Miami FC
USL Championship
30.05.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Miami - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
07.05.26	Birmingham Legion - Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.07.24	Miami - Oakland Roots	1:2
29.04.23	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0

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