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Current Win Probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves 30.5%
Draw 33%
Birmingham Legion 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
26.5%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
26.5%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 23. Lelin Y. 11. Ramos J. 27. Maldonado J. 21. Acosta M. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 20. Mensah R. 10. Bentley M.
12. McMullen T. (G) 26. Daley A. 5. Hughes K. 3. Kavita P. (C) 11. McCartney D. 8. Cole K. 18. Antwi S. 16. Vassell P. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
Substitutes
2. Adewole T. 19. Donoho N. 7. Hernandez O. 9. Mercer G. 66. Montoya A. (G) 1. Smith J. (G) 17. Tapia O.
77. Brown N. 2. Duru L. 4. Hamouda R. 1. Koleilat J. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 27. Washington B. 17. Williams R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Daley A. ↓, Duru L. ↑,
61', Vassell P. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
62', Kavita P. ↓, Washington B. ↑,
63', Mensah R. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
63', Hernandez P. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Saucedo S. ⚽,
68', Maldonado J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
72', Saucedo S. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Mercer G. ⚽,
81', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
83', Acosta M. 🟨,
84', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
88', Williams R. 🟨,
90', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
90+4', Antwi S. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Hernandez O. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Pasher T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bentley M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McCartney D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ramos J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Saucedo S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Acosta M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hughes K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lelin Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ngoma S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Chattanooga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).
Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
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Jerez R. (G) 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Kinzner E. 
Ayimbila J. 
Lelin Y. 
Ramos J. 
Bentley M. 
Daley A. 
Kavita P. (C) 
Cole K. 
Vassell P. 
Pasher T. 
Damus R. 
Koleilat J. (G) 
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