Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Oakland Roots		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.60
	2.38	3.25	2.55
	2.53	3.60	2.83
	2.2	3.72	2.89	Watch
	2.50	3.25	2.80
	2.29	3.63	2.81	Watch
	2.32	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	2.73 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
39.3%

Draw
26.7%

Lexington
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Oakland Roots aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Oakland Roots - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (G) 11. de Vicente J. 5. Garcia D. 15. Hackshaw N. 23. Bravo J. 20. Fisher M. 4. McCabe T. (C) 27. Jacquesson B. 10. Valot F. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P.	17. Semmle O. (C) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. 34. Fry M. 15. Okello N. 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
2. Bruno Lapa 6. Byaruhanga B. 34. Edwards M. 32. Escobar J. (G) 12. Gibson T. 21. Lepley T. 38. Lopez E. 53. Stone G. 99. Trejo D.	21. Muir M. 8. Nick Firmino 27. Rodrigues B. P. 19. Scott T. 98. Seagrist P. 31. Thompson B. (G) 20. Yosef M.
Coaches
Martin R.	Hemmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', McCabe T. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Zengue X. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bravo J. ↓, Byaruhanga B. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽, McCabe T. (A),
58', Fry M. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
58', Fisher M. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
60', Gibson T. 🟨,
67', Okello N. ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Goodrum P. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
83', 1 - 3, Epps M. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
84', Ferri B. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
85', Prentice W. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
85', Valot F. ↓, Bruno Lapa ↑,
86', Jacquesson B. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
87', 1 - 4, Goodrum P. ⚽, Epps M. (A),

Preview

Oakland Roots has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lexington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
29.08.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLT
- Lexington SC
USL Championship
05.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Lexington	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Lexington - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
26.08.26	New Mexico United - Lexington	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lexington - Las Vegas Lights	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Lexington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
22.07.26	Lexington - Oakland Roots	2:0
25.10.25	Oakland Roots - Lexington	3:0
23.08.25	Lexington - Oakland Roots	2:1

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