Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Jensen B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Monterey Bay		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.25	2.90
	2.18	3.15	2.90
	2.22	3.51	3.25
	2.14	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.17	3.40	3.20
	2.19	3.54	3.03	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.14)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
42.6%

Draw
27.3%

Orange County SC
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Monterey Bay - Orange County SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 47. Elliot Q. 5. Gordon N. (C) 32. Farnsworth Z. 17. Glasgow O. 15. Barajas F. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 88. Lletget S. 20. Paul I. 24. Saidi A.	1. Rando A. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 4. Benalcazar N. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 10. Hegardt C. 11. MacKinnon L. 12. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
18. Belmar J. 31. Dalton C. (G) 25. Egwu K. 22. Garcia J. 11. Leggett W. 3. Ritchie S. 30. Villasana A.	30. Castro J. 23. Doghman R. 17. Johnson J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 22. Marinch A. 26. Martinez J. 28. O'Brien F. 21. War M. 9. Zubak E.
Coaches
Covelo A.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Brewitt T. 🟨,
39', Paul I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Brewitt T. ⚽,
51', 0 - 2, Gordon N. (Own goal),
56', Saidi A. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
56', Nakamura R. ↓, Belmar J. ↑,
59', Tubbs G. 🟨,
74', Elliot Q. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
74', Barajas F. ↓, Ritchie S. ↑,
79', MacKinnon L. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
79', Solis E. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
86', Sylla O. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Paul I. ⚽, Gordon N. (A),
90+3', Ross N. ↓, Egwu K. ↑,
90+3', Hegardt C. ↓, War M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 3.

Monterey Bay is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orange County SC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.

Monterey Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Orange County SC - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.7%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
18.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	2:3 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	San Antonio - Monterey Bay	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL
- Orange County SC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:3 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Rhode Island - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
24.06.26	Miami - Orange County SC	2:4 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.07.25	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	2:1
USL Cup
31.05.25	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	3:2
USL Championship
22.03.25	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	0:3
21.09.24	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	0:0
27.04.24	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	2:0
14.10.23	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	0:1
01.07.23	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	3:1

Upcoming Matches