Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Orange County SC		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.70	1.65
	4.60	3.55	1.61
	5.02	4.15	1.63
	4	3.88	1.78	Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.61
	4.42	3.82	1.64	Watch
	4.20	3.70	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4)	3.84 ↑ (3.54)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
20.6%

Draw
24%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.3%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Orange County SC - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 4. Benalcazar N. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 23. Doghman R. 10. Hegardt C. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 25. Solis E. 22. Marinch A. 12. Bazini Y.	1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 23. Schneider M. 62. Dossantos N. 20. Ostrem C. 30. Cruz S. 4. Hilton L. (C) 16. Micaletto M. 13. Perez L. 9. Myers M. 10. Cicerone R.
Substitutes
14. Cambridge B. 30. Castro J. 32. Ciotta N. 15. Espy T. 33. Gentile J. (G) 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. O'Brien F. 18. Palomino M. 9. Zubak E.	2. Antley C. 7. Conway E. 14. Henderlong K. 33. Nigro G. 24. Pack A. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 27. Wyke L.
Coaches
Stone D.	Casciato D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Hilton L. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Myers M. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Doghman R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hilton L. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
53', Wyke L. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Micaletto M. ⚽, Myers M. (A),
61', Perez L. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
61', Marinch A. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
70', Doghman R. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
71', Hegardt C. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
71', Micaletto M. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
71', Acoff D. ↓, Antley C. ↑,
83', Zubak E. 🟨,
85', Cicerone R. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
89', Sylla O. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Henderlong K. ⚽, Conway E. (A),
90+4', Solis E. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Orange County SC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampa Bay is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tampa Bay is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rowdies - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.88%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
01.08.26	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:3 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Rhode Island - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLTT
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
01.08.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	5:4 ✺
25.07.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Naples	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	2:0
18.03.23	Orange County SC - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1
27.08.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	3:1
28.11.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	1:3

Upcoming Matches