Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+, KDKA+


	Oakland Roots		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.62
	2.46	3.6	2.75
	2.4	3.55	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65
	2.32	3.32	2.59	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.18)	3.45 ↓ (3.57)	2.65 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
38.6%

Draw
26.7%

Phoenix Rising
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McIntosh K. (C) 20. Fisher M. 34. Edwards M. 5. Garcia D. 11. de Vicente J. 27. Jacquesson B. 6. Byaruhanga B. 12. Gibson T. 7. Prentice W. 99. Trejo D. 2. Bruno Lapa	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 51. Essengue A. 4. Mar Boye P. 48. Schmitt T. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 70. Torres J. 8. Gomez D. 87. Flores D. 7. Sacko I.
Substitutes
67. Arana E. 23. Bravo J. 32. Escobar J. (G) 21. Lepley T. 38. Lopez E. 4. McCabe T. 53. Stone G. 17. Tingey K. 10. Valot F.	27. Ambursley C. 28. Arase K. 10. Avayevu H. 23. Badji D. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 19. Rivera D.
Coaches
Martin R.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bruno Lapa ⚽, de Vicente J. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Trejo D. ⚽, Jacquesson B. (A),
30', Flores D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Flores D. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
64', Smith C. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
67', Bruno Lapa ↓, McCabe T. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Jacquesson B. ⚽, de Vicente J. (A),
77', Essengue A. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
77', Torres J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
82', Jacquesson B. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
82', Gomez D. ↓, Ambursley C. ↑,
90+1', Trejo D. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
90+2', Rivera D. 🟨,
90+3', Prentice W. ↓, Stone G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Oakland Roots has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oakland Roots against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Phoenix Rising - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
20.09.26	Indy Eleven - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oakland Roots - Lexington	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTWT
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
19.09.26	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:4
21.03.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	2:2
27.09.25	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:3
12.07.25	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	1:2
12.10.24	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	0:1
23.03.24	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	1:0
24.06.23	Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising	1:1

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