The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orange County SC 49.7%
Draw 26.5%
Tacoma Defiance 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
22.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
15%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tacoma Defiance's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orange County SC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Orange County SC - Tacoma Defiance Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).
Orange County SC has the most likely position - 2 (35.75%), has project points - 47, has currently - 26, has a good chance of playoffs (83%), has a chance of qtrs (37%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Tacoma has the most likely position - 5 (22.19%), has project points - 43, has currently - 24, has a good chance of playoffs (55%), has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Orange County SC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tacoma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Orange County SC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tacoma have a series of home games.
In this match Orange County SC is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Orange County SC won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-7.
Watch
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